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Mobilization:
an express survey

On September 21, Vladimir Putin introduced "partial" mobilization in Russia. The same evening we launched an express survey to measure the Russians' attitude towards the mobilization and the war.

 

We surveyed 1000 Russian citizens by randomly selected mobile numbers on September 21-22, and held the same survey among the other 800 respondents on September 28-29 to learn that:

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declared support for the "special operation" continues to fall and has once again reached a historic minimum;

 

the groups supporting and opposing the war have almost equaled: there are 25–26% of "militarists" and 17–18% of "open pacifists" in Russia now;

 

73% of the mobilization supporters watch TV and believe that they personally will not be affected by the mobilization;

 

wealthy Russians say they are ready to go to the front twice as often as those with low and middle incomes.

Support for the war continues to fall

The beginning of July saw a turning point in the Russians' attitudes towards the war. The drop in support continues: now the declared support for the "special military operation" equals 51%, as compared to 55% in July and 66% in April. Though the number of mobilization supporters equals 51-54%, their support of the war has also decreased by 5% within a week.

Россияне продолжают беднеть

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89% респондентов не ожидают, что в ближайшие полгода их материальное положение улучшится

 

52% респондентов вынуждены экономить на продуктах из-за роста цен

 

50% респондентов заявляют, что существенно выросла стоимость коммунальных услуг

 

39% говорят, респондентов снизился доход семьи

 

16% респондентов отметили, что из продажи исчезли важные лекарства

 

9% сообщили, что кого-то из их семьи сократили на работе или кто-то из родственников потерял бизнес

Under conditions of censorship, the answers to a direct question about support for the "operation" do not provide a reliable picture. To find out the actual number of "militarists" (war supporters) and "open pacifists", we used additional questions:

Напрямую война затронула 20 млн россиян

73% of those who said they approved of the mobilization receive information from the TV and believe that they personally will not be subject to mobilization.

 

Of the Russians subject to mobilization in the first place (18–29 and 30–39 years old), 78% and 69%, respectively, said they were not ready to participate in the war or found it difficult/refused to answer the question.

Мобилизуемые мужчины стали реже брать трубку

Respondents who "if necessary, could buy an apartment/home," or "have enough money for everything, except such expensive purchases as an apartment/home," twice as often as other Russians said they were ready to go to the front: 60% against 29%.

 

37% of respondents described themselves as ready to go to the front (voluntarily or by an order). The most "ready" for participation in the "special operation" is the group of 50–59 year olds (48%). The readiness to fight is also high among respondents aged 40–49 and over 60 (41%).

 

35% of Russians are not ready to fight, either voluntarily or by an order. All in all, 46% of men and 77% of women said they would not go to the front, had difficulty answering, or refused to answer.

Support us

By transferring money to support our project, you are helping to tell people in Russia and abroad about what (and, most importantly, why) the people of Russia think about the war with Ukraine. Our goal is to change public opinion about the war. Propaganda speaks of almost unconditional support for the war by citizens of the Russian Federation, but in reality everything is radically more complicated: the level of support is lower than “official” opinion polls show, and this support is not at all what it seems. We will spend all donations made in cryptocurrency on conducting opinion polls and creating analytics.